Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Super Tuesday Results 3

Trends (as of 10:30ET):

  • Obama has won 8 states, Clinton 6
    • Obama campaign said to be "over-performing" in some states which can help when the delegate count is accurately assigned
    • Hillary wins Massachusetts which puts into question how potent the Kennedy endorsement really was
    • Early worry in the Clinton camp since it took some time to call Tennessee—a couple of months ago Tennessee was solidly Clinton
  • McCain has won six states, Huckabee three states, Romney two states
    • McCain is performing strongly in traditional states which would be considered solid "blue" in the General election
      • Picks up states that were once considered to be Giuliani gains
    • Romney retains Massachusetts where McCain had stopped to campaign in an effort to humiliate Romney
    • Huckabee strong in the south…suggestions arise that he'll become a viable candidate for Veep
  • Exit Poll snapshots:
    • Economy is the most important issue for both Democrats and Republicans (45-47).
      • Democrats after economy: War (29), Healthcare (18)
      • Republicans after economy: Illegal Immigration (22), Iraq (20)
      • 44% of Republicans believe the economy is good, 8% of Democrats agree
    • Democrats are looking for change over experience, and Obama 72% believe Obama can bring change. 25% believe that of Clinton
    • More Democrats believe Clinton would make a better Commander in Chief, but Obama would unite the country
    • Demographics:
      • Obama gaining among women and whites, almost splitting and at times beating Clinton in the White Male vote; Clinton leading among Hispanics
      • McCain leads among Moderates, Romney among Conservatives
      • Evangelicals: Almost split evenly among the three Republicans

The "Big Enchilada," California, polls close in half an hour as of this posting.

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